Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.909390e-05 0.000046 0.000054 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084 0.000096
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.849016e-05 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000075 0.000092 0.000112
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.218856e-05 0.000032 0.000044 0.000059 0.000078 0.000100 0.000126
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.820719e-05 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000081 0.000108 0.000141
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.479262e-05 0.000025 0.000039 0.000058 0.000083 0.000114 0.000153
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.225556e-05 0.000023 0.000037 0.000058 0.000085 0.000120 0.000165
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.021397e-05 0.000020 0.000035 0.000057 0.000087 0.000126 0.000177
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.226507e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000056 0.000088 0.000129 0.000186
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.365742e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000053 0.000086 0.000130 0.000191
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.032290e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000051 0.000086 0.000133 0.000198
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.461058e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000053 0.000090 0.000141 0.000213
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.624068e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000052 0.000091 0.000145 0.000222
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.952559e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000052 0.000094 0.000152 0.000237
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.081989e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000050 0.000093 0.000154 0.000244
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.519263e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000049 0.000093 0.000158 0.000255
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.167394e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000095 0.000165 0.000268
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.370202e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000048 0.000096 0.000169 0.000279
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.044091e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000047 0.000098 0.000174 0.000291
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.275187e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000047 0.000099 0.000180 0.000304
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.651731e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000045 0.000099 0.000182 0.000312
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.370528e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000043 0.000097 0.000182 0.000316
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.874954e-08 0.000003 0.000014 0.000042 0.000096 0.000184 0.000323
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.863198e-08 0.000003 0.000014 0.000043 0.000100 0.000193 0.000341